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name: ad-campaign-analyzer description: > Analyze ad campaign performance data (Google, Meta, LinkedIn) to identify what's working, what's wasting budget, and specific cut/scale/test recommendations. Runs statistical analysis, funnel diagnostics, and multi-channel budget reallocation with specific dollar-amount shift recommendations and scenario modeling.

Ad Campaign Analyzer

Take raw campaign performance data and turn it into clear decisions. This skill doesn't just summarize metrics — it diagnoses problems, identifies winners, checks statistical significance, and tells you exactly what to cut, scale, and test next. Then it goes further: it compares channels on equal terms, finds where you're over-spending vs under-spending relative to results, and produces a concrete budget reallocation plan.

Core principle: Most startup founders check their ad dashboard, see a ROAS number, and either panic or celebrate. This skill gives you the nuanced analysis a paid media specialist would: what's actually significant, what's noise, and where your next dollar should go. It also solves the allocation problem — most startups either spread budget too thin across channels (no channel gets enough to learn) or dump everything into one channel (missing cheaper opportunities elsewhere).

When to Use

• "Analyze my Google Ads performance"
• "Which ads should I kill?"
• "Is this campaign working?"
• "Where am I wasting ad spend?"
• "Optimize my Meta Ads"
• "How should I split my ad budget?"
• "Should I spend more on Google or Meta?"
• "Reallocate my ad spend across channels"
• "Where am I getting the best return?"
• "I have $X/month for ads — how should I distribute it?"

Phase 0: Intake

1. Campaign data — One of:
   • CSV export from Google Ads / Meta Ads Manager / LinkedIn Campaign Manager
   • Pasted performance table
   • Screenshots of dashboard (we'll extract the data)
2. Platform(s) — Google / Meta / LinkedIn / All
3. Time period — What date range does this cover?
4. Monthly budget — Total ad spend in this period
5. Primary goal — What conversion are you optimizing for? (Demos / Trials / Purchases / Leads)
6. Target metrics — Do you have target CPA or ROAS? (If not, we'll benchmark)
7. Any known changes? — Did you change creative, budget, or targeting during this period?
8. Channels currently running — Google Ads, Meta Ads, LinkedIn Ads, Twitter/X Ads, TikTok Ads, other
9. Funnel data (if available):
   • Lead → MQL rate
   • MQL → SQL rate
   • SQL → Close rate
   • Average deal size
10. Channels you're considering but haven't tried — Want to test new channels?
11. Constraints — Minimum spend on any channel? Platform you must stay on?

Phase 1: Data Ingestion & Normalization

Accepted Data Formats

| Source | Key Columns Expected | |--------|---------------------| | Google Ads | Campaign, Ad Group, Keyword, Impressions, Clicks, CTR, CPC, Conversions, Conv Rate, Cost, Conv Value | | Meta Ads | Campaign, Ad Set, Ad, Impressions, Reach, Clicks, CTR, CPC, Conversions, Cost Per Result, Amount Spent, ROAS | | LinkedIn Ads | Campaign, Impressions, Clicks, CTR, CPC, Conversions, Cost, Leads |

Normalize all data into a standard analysis format:

| Dimension | Impressions | Clicks | CTR | CPC | Conversions | Conv Rate | CPA | Spend | Revenue/Value | |-----------|------------|--------|-----|-----|-------------|----------|-----|-------|--------------|

Multi-Channel Normalization

When data spans multiple channels, also produce a channel-level rollup:

| Channel | Monthly Spend | Impressions | Clicks | CTR | CPC | Conversions | Conv Rate | CPA | ROAS | CAC* | |---------|-------------|------------|--------|-----|-----|-------------|----------|-----|------|------| | Google Search | $[X] | [N] | [N] | [X%] | $[X] | [N] | [X%] | $[X] | [X] | $[X] | | Google Display | ... | | | | | | | | | | | Meta (FB/IG) | ... | | | | | | | | | | | LinkedIn | ... | | | | | | | | | | | [Other] | ... | | | | | | | | | | | Total | $[X] | | | | | [N] | | $[X] avg | [X] avg | $[X] avg |

*CAC = Full customer acquisition cost if funnel data provided (CPA × close-rate adjustment)

Funnel-Adjusted CAC (If Funnel Data Available)

Channel CAC = CPA ÷ (MQL rate × SQL rate × Close rate)

This reveals which channels produce leads that actually close, not just convert.

Phase 2: Performance Diagnostics

2A: Campaign-Level Health Check

For each campaign:

| Metric | Value | Benchmark | Status | |--------|-------|-----------|--------| | CTR | [X%] | [Industry avg] | [Good/Okay/Poor] | | CPC | $[X] | [Category avg] | [Good/Okay/Poor] | | Conv Rate | [X%] | [Benchmark] | [Good/Okay/Poor] | | CPA | $[X] | [Target or benchmark] | [Good/Okay/Poor] | | ROAS | [X] | [Target or benchmark] | [Good/Okay/Poor] | | Impression Share | [X%] | [>60% ideal] | [Good/Okay/Poor] |

2B: Budget Waste Detection

Identify spend that produced no or negative return:

| Waste Type | Signal | Action | |-----------|--------|--------| | Zero-conversion keywords/ads | Spend > $[X] with 0 conversions | Pause or add negatives | | High CPA outliers | CPA > 3x target | Pause or restructure | | Low CTR ads | CTR < 50% of campaign average | Replace creative | | Broad match bleed | Search terms report showing irrelevant clicks | Add negative keywords | | Audience overlap | Same users hit by multiple campaigns | Exclude audiences | | Dayparting waste | Conversions cluster at certain hours; spend is 24/7 | Set ad schedule |

2C: Winner Identification

Find what's actually working:

| Winner Type | Signal | Action | |------------|--------|--------| | Top-performing keywords | Lowest CPA, highest conv rate | Increase bid, add variants | | Winning ads | Highest CTR + conv rate combo | Scale spend, clone for other groups | | Best audiences | Lowest CPA segment | Increase budget allocation | | Best times | Peak conversion hours/days | Concentrate budget |

2D: Statistical Significance Check

For any A/B test (ad variants, audiences, landing pages):

Test: [Variant A] vs [Variant B]
Metric: [Conv Rate / CTR / CPA]
Variant A: [X%] (n=[sample_size])
Variant B: [Y%] (n=[sample_size])
Confidence level: [X%]
Verdict: [Statistically significant / Not enough data / Too close to call]
Recommended action: [Pick winner / Continue test / Increase budget to reach significance]

Minimum sample: 100 clicks per variant for CTR tests, 30 conversions per variant for CPA tests.

Phase 3: Funnel Analysis

Click → Conversion Path

Impressions: [N] (100%)
     ↓ CTR: [X%]
Clicks: [N] ([X%] of impressions)
     ↓ Landing page → Conversion: [X%]
Conversions: [N] ([X%] of clicks)
     ↓ Conversion → Revenue: $[X] avg
Revenue: $[N]

Funnel Drop-Off Diagnosis

| Drop-Off Point | Rate | Benchmark | Likely Cause | Fix | |----------------|------|-----------|-------------|-----| | Impression → Click | [CTR%] | [Benchmark] | [Ad relevance / targeting] | [Copy/targeting change] | | Click → Conversion | [Conv%] | [Benchmark] | [Landing page / offer / audience mismatch] | [LP optimization] | | Conversion → Revenue | [Close%] | [Benchmark] | [Lead quality / sales process] | [Qualification criteria] |

Phase 4: Budget Reallocation

When data spans multiple channels, perform cross-channel budget optimization.

4A: Channel Efficiency Ranking

| Rank | Channel | CPA | Funnel-Adj CAC | Share of Spend | Share of Conversions | Efficiency Index | |------|---------|-----|---------------|----------------|---------------------|-----------------| | 1 | [Channel] | $[X] | $[X] | [X%] | [X%] | [Conv share ÷ Spend share] |

Efficiency Index:

• > 1.0 = Under-invested (getting more than its share of conversions)
• = 1.0 = Proportional (fair share)
• < 1.0 = Over-invested (getting less than its share)

4B: Marginal Return Analysis

For each channel, estimate if additional spend would yield proportional returns:

| Channel | Current CPA | Impression Share / Saturation Signal | Marginal Return Estimate | |---------|-------------|-------------------------------------|------------------------| | Google Search | $[X] | [X%] impression share — room to grow | Likely positive | | Meta | $[X] | Frequency [X] — audience may be saturated | Diminishing | | LinkedIn | $[X] | Low volume — limited targeting pool | Ceiling soon |

4C: Funnel Stage Coverage

| Funnel Stage | Channels Covering It | Current Spend | Gap? | |-------------|---------------------|--------------|------| | Awareness (top) | [Meta Display, YouTube] | $[X] | [Yes/No] | | Consideration (mid) | [Google Search, Meta retargeting] | $[X] | [Yes/No] | | Decision (bottom) | [Google Brand, Google Search] | $[X] | [Yes/No] | | Retargeting | [Meta, Google Display] | $[X] | [Yes/No] |

4D: Budget Shift Recommendations

| Channel | Current Spend | Recommended Spend | Change | Reasoning | |---------|-------------|------------------|--------|-----------| | Google Search | $[X] | $[Y] | +$[Z] | [Lowest CPA, room to scale] | | Meta | $[X] | $[Y] | -$[Z] | [Audience saturation, frequency too high] | | LinkedIn | $[X] | $[Y] | $0 | [Maintain — niche but valuable] | | [New channel] | $0 | $[Y] | +$[Y] | [Test budget — competitors succeeding here] | | Total | $[X] | $[X] | $0 | Budget-neutral reallocation |

4E: Scenario Modeling

Scenario 1: Conservative shift (+/- 20%)

• Expected conversions: [N] (currently [N]) = [X%] improvement
• Expected blended CPA: $[X] (currently $[X])
• Risk: Low

Scenario 2: Aggressive shift (+/- 40%)

• Expected conversions: [N] = [X%] improvement
• Expected blended CPA: $[X]
• Risk: Medium — less data on scaled channels

Scenario 3: Budget increase to $[Y]/mo

• Recommended allocation: [table]
• Expected conversions: [N]
• New channels to test: [list]

Phase 5: Output Format

# Ad Campaign Analysis — [Product/Client] — [DATE]

Period: [Date range]
Total spend: $[X]
Platform(s): [Google / Meta / LinkedIn]
Primary goal: [Conversions / Revenue / Leads]

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## Executive Summary

[3-5 sentences: Overall performance verdict, biggest win, biggest problem, top recommendation including any reallocation moves]

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## Performance Dashboard

| Campaign | Spend | Impressions | Clicks | CTR | CPC | Conversions | CPA | ROAS | Verdict |
|----------|-------|------------|--------|-----|-----|-------------|-----|------|---------|
| [Name] | $[X] | [N] | [N] | [X%] | $[X] | [N] | $[X] | [X] | [Scale/Optimize/Pause] |

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## Budget Waste Report

**Total estimated waste: $[X] ([X%] of total spend)**

### Wasted on zero-conversion items: $[X]
[List of keywords/ads/audiences with spend but no conversions]

### Wasted on high-CPA items: $[X]
[List of items with CPA > 3x target]

### Recommended saves: $[X]/month
[Specific items to pause]

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## Winners to Scale

### Top Keywords/Audiences
| Item | CPA | Conv Rate | Current Spend | Recommended Spend |
|------|-----|----------|--------------|-------------------|

### Top Ads
| Ad | CTR | Conv Rate | Why It Works |
|----|-----|----------|-------------|

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## A/B Test Results

### [Test Name]
- Variant A: [Metric] (n=[N])
- Variant B: [Metric] (n=[N])
- Confidence: [X%]
- **Verdict:** [Winner / Continue / Inconclusive]

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## Budget Reallocation

### Current vs Recommended Allocation

| Channel | Current | Recommended | Change | Why |
|---------|---------|------------|--------|-----|
| [Channel] | $[X] | $[Y] | [+/-$Z] | [1-line reason] |

**Projected impact:**
- Conversions: [N] → [N] (+[X%])
- Blended CPA: $[X] → $[Y] (-[X%])

### Funnel Stage Coverage
[Coverage map with gaps identified]

### New Channel Recommendations

#### [Channel Name]
- **Why test:** [Reasoning]
- **Recommended test budget:** $[X]/mo for [X weeks]
- **Success criteria:** CPA < $[X]
- **Competitors using it:** [Yes/No — who]

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## Action Plan

### Immediate (This Week)